引用本文:
【打印本页】   【下载PDF全文】   View/Add Comment  Download reader   Close
←前一篇|后一篇→ 过刊浏览    高级检索
本文二维码信息
码上扫一扫!
降水量的BP人工神经网络预测模型及其应用
牛文全1, 李 靖2
1.西北农林科技大学 中国科学院水利部水土保持研究所;2.西北农林科技大学 水利与建筑工程学院
摘要:
由于影响因素的复杂性,预测降水量具有相当的难度。在假区域长时间内降水量和蒸发量保持平衡的基础上,用BP人工神经网络建立了陕西省汉中市的降水量预测模型,根据前3个月降水量和蒸发量对降水量资料进行了模拟预测,结果认为其准确率为84%,合格率为100%。
关键词:  降水量  BP人工神经网络  预测模型
DOI:
分类号:
基金项目:
Application of BP artificial neural network model in forecast of quantity of precipitation
Abstract:
Because of the complexity of influencial factors,it is very difficult to forecast the quantity of precipitation.Based on the quantity balance of evaporation and precipitation in a long time in a area,BP artificial neural network model was applied to build forecast model of quantity of precipitation.It is based on former three months’quantity of precipitation and evaporation to simulate and forecast this month’s quantity of precipitation.The result is analyzed and indicates that the ratio of nicety is 84% and the ratio of eligibility is 100%.
Key words:  quantity of precipitation  BP artificial neural network  forecast model

You are the NO.34636367
Copyright©2009:Editorial Department of Journal of Northwest A&F University (Natural Science Edition)
Designed by Beijing E-Tiller Co.,Ltd