| 摘要: |
| 运用灰色微分方程与自记忆原理相结合的方法,建立了地下水埋深预测的灰色自记忆模型,并以新疆和田市地下水长期观测井GW9为例进行了埋深模拟和预测。结果表明,该模型具有较高的模拟及预测精度,且简洁实用。 |
| 关键词: 灰色微分方程 自记忆原理 地下水埋深预测 新疆和田 |
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| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(50579063);西北农林科技大学农业水土工程教育部开放实验室基金项目 |
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| Grey self-memory model and its application in the prediction of groundwater depth in Hotan,Xinjiang |
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| Abstract: |
| By combining the grey differential equation with self-memory theory,the grey self-memory model for groundwater depth prediction was established in Hotan,and it was used to predict groundwater depth of observation well GW9 as a case study.The results show that the suggested model is of high simulation and prediction accuracy with the merits of simple and practical application. |
| Key words: grey differential equation self-memory theory prediction of ground water depth Hotan Xinjiang |