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模糊综合评判法在水库洪水调度方案评价中的应用
韩宇平1, 解建仓1
西安理工大学 水电学院
摘要:
引入模糊综合评判的概念,并选取对洪水预报和洪水调度质量评价影响较大的8个因素,通过层次分析法获得各评价指标的权重,在对洪水预报和洪水调度两方面分别进行单因素综合评判的基础上,对调度方案整体进行了多因素综合评判。该评价模型对水库洪水调度软件的设计和运用具有重要的实用价值。
关键词:  水库  洪水调度  模糊综合评判  层次分析法(AHP)
DOI:
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金重点项目(79830040);科技部社会公益研究专项资金项目“首都圈水资源保障研究”;水利部科技创新项目(SCX2001-08)
The application of fuzzy judge method on flood dispatching project in reservoir
Abstract:
In order to evaluate the result of flood forecast and the project of flood dispatching,the fuzzy judge model was applied in this paper.8 factors,which have great influence on flood forecast and the project of flood dispatching,were considered for the selecting of assess index,and their weight can be obtained through AHP method.Primarily,the comprehensive judgment which based on the single factor was carried out to forecast flood and flood dispatching respectively,then,the multi-factor comprehensive judgment was carried out to the whole dispatching project.In this paper,the fuzzy judge model has important application values to the designing and application of flood dispatching software.
Key words:  reservoir  flood dispatching  fuzzy judge  AHP method