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渭北旱原东部耕地资源及其人口承载力的研究
杨改河1, 杨学农1
西北农业大学农学系
摘要:
在综合调查渭北旱原东部典型县的农业资源基础上,运用正交多项式、逐步回归、灰色预测等方法对旱原耕地资源、生产力、人口发展、粮食供求关系等项目进行了分析,得出在一定生产水平下的人口承载量,并指出提高该区耕地人口承载量的关键是增加物质技术投入,努力改造中低产田。
关键词:  渭北旱原  耕地资源,  人口承载力
DOI:
分类号:
基金项目:
Research on the Cultivated Land Resources and Population Supporting Capacity in the East Part of the Weibei Rainfed Loess Plateau
Yang Gaihe Yang Xuenoag
Abstract:
Based on comprehensive investigation into resources in the typical east part of the East Part of Weibei Raiinfed Loess Plateau, this paper analysee the cultivated land resources, productivity, population development and relationship of grain balance using orthogonal multionmial, multiple regression and grey forecast, thus, obtaining the population supporting capacity under certain productive levels. Also, the paper points out that the key link to raising the population supporting capacity of cultivated land in this region is to increase the material and technical inputs and to transform the middle-and low-yield farmlands.
Key words:  Weibei Rainfed Loess Plateau  cultivated land resources  population supporting capacity