| 摘要: |
| 将灰色系统建模方法和自记忆建模结合起来，提出了年径流预测的灰色自记忆模型。实例研究表明，灰色自记忆模型能很好地反映动态数据序列的极值趋势，且具有较满意的拟合及预报精度。 |
| 关键词: 年径流 灰色预测 自记忆模型 |
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| 基金项目:西北农林科技大学农业水土工程教育部开放实验室基金项目；新疆自治区世界银行贷款项目 |
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| Predicting annual runoff with grey self-memory model |
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| Abstract: |
| The grey self-memory model for annual runoff was established on grey system and self-memory theory.Examples show that the suggested model can reflect the extreme trend of recorded annual runoff dynamic variation with satisfactory simulation and predicting precision. |
| Key words: annual runoff grey forcasting self-memory model |
