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不同因素对棉花增产的贡献率分析
吴永常1, 王东阳2, 姜 洁2
1.中国农业科学院区划所;2.中国农业科学院 农业宏观研究室
摘要:
利用国家有关部门对全国棉花良种种植情况的调查数据,应用品种遗传改良对产量贡献作用的分析模型,计算了我国四大棉区五个省(区)棉花品种遗传改良、化肥投入和栽培管理等其他措施在产量提高中的作用。结果表明:我国棉区典型省份棉花品种遗传对产量的贡献作用在16%~36%,与化肥投入贡献作用率中值的40%和管理等的34%相比是最低的。今后相当一段时期内棉花生产的发展是良种的选育和推广应用。
关键词:  棉花产量,产量贡献,品种遗传改良,分析模型
DOI:
分类号:S562.02;S562.01
基金项目:国家科委软科学项目的一部分
Contribution of Different Factors on Cotton Yield Increases in China
Abstract:
Based on the data of improved planting cotton cultivars throughout the countrywe calculated the contribution of cultivar improvement, chemical fertilizer inputs and other management measures such as crop husbandry to cotton yield increases in 4 cotton producing zones including 5 provinces in China, according to the model of contribution of genetic improvement to cotton yield increases. It is showed that the contribution of genetic improvement to cotton yield increases ranged from 16% to 36%,which is the lowest with the average contributions of chemical fertilizer inputs (40% ) and other management measures such as crop husbandry (34% ).Breeding and expanding the improved cotton cultivars have played an important role in cotton yield increases in recent years or for a long time in the future.
Key words:  cotton yield,contribution to yield increaces,genetic improvement, model