| 摘要: |
| 用数量统计方法预测表明:本世纪末,中国人口(大陆地区)可控制在12.5205～12.7285亿,国民收入年增长速度以7.6%～9.2%为宜。口粮消费总量趋于稳定,动物性食品消费持续增加,说明食物结构正向营养化、科学化方向转化。估计到2000年我国粮食需求总量为4863.9～5096.7亿公斤,我国完全有能力解决自己的粮食问题。 |
| 关键词: 预测，粮食需求，人口，国民收入，食物结构 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F1242.7 |
| 基金项目: |
|
| A Study on the Future Grain Demand in China |
|
Liu Jingyi Wen Tianshun
|
| Abstract: |
| With the method of mathematical analysis, it is predicted that the
Chinese population on main land would be confined to the range of 1.25205～1.27285
billion and that the annuar growth rate of national income would be limited within the
scope of 7.6%～9.2% by the end of this century.The total consumption of food grain
tends to be stablized and the consumption of animal food will keep on growing,thus
exhibiting a transfer of food structure towards nutrition and rationality.In 2000,it is
estimated that the total demand for grain in China will reach to 4,863,9～5,096.7 Gkg
and China will be capable of solving its food problem by its own efforts. |
| Key words: prediction,food demand,population,national income,food structure, |
